Shrill-Hydrocarb
0x4576419cbb35c1d8880b94d0b0a1d1ad46f7edff
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-20.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
460 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$460.00
$2.30
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
410 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$410.00
$0.82
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
240 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$240.00
$2.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?
360 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.80
- NO
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
322 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
281 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$237.60Mar 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$457.70Mar 29, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$329.34Mar 29, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$329.67Mar 29, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?$428.28Mar 28, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?$409.18Mar 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?$428.71Mar 25, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$420.10Mar 19, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in November?$440.00Mar 19, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in November?$439.56Nov 29, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$413.70Nov 19, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 4?$48.85Nov 13, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?$168.63Nov 13, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$170.00Nov 13, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the second best AI model on September 30?$180.00Nov 13, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$300.00Nov 13, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 17?$330.00Nov 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $96,000 on November 17?$153.76Nov 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $96,000 on November 17?$154.88Nov 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$11.20Oct 31, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $168.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".