Crowded-Debate
0x457c590b28aa5a4efa1cb5c7214a2c23f7a9bdff
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$32.74
Total PnL
$-231.13
Realised
$-24.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET
30 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$29.99
$14.70
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?
120 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-48.40
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?
111 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on April 19?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
99 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6AM ET
59 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-29.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
30 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET$3.45May 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET$11.84May 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET$2.50May 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET$2.55May 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET$2.55May 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET$2.60May 22, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 9?$69.59May 21, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 9?$36.30May 9, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 9?$3.60May 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 9?$3.60May 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 9?$8.51May 9, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 19?$10.00Apr 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$37.70Apr 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$8.05Apr 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6AM ET$10.20Apr 17, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6AM ET$20.40Apr 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$37.50Apr 17, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$12.50Apr 17, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.96Mar 26, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.11Mar 26, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".