Cumbersome-Executive
0x458389011156fe2ae7cc5314d8a58198ed45bb23
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$337.74
Win rate
79%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?
7700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 24?
7498 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 20?
4700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
3583 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-85.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 25?
2699 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.41
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 13?
2298 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 30?
1913 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?
1665 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 10, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10.71May 9, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$2.96Mar 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.80Mar 1, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.88Feb 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.30Feb 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$3.68Feb 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$0.40Feb 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$0.09Feb 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$1.18Feb 24, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$1.49Feb 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?$7.48Feb 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?$0.90Feb 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?$0.01Feb 23, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?$0.01Feb 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?$0.03Feb 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?$0.02Feb 23, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".