Helpless-Shackle
0x458687a5e318f7d0ab87bcbe4362092afdf92fee
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$2.06
Total PnL
$-505.02
Realised
$6.10
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?
533 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
98 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-61.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
67 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
57 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
41 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
41 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
33 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
32 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 8, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Jun 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.19Jun 8, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.11Jun 8, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.32Jun 8, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.17Jun 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.21Apr 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$9.11Apr 26, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$9.46Apr 26, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$9.04Apr 26, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$9.24Apr 26, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$10.59Apr 26, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$9.10Apr 25, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.34Apr 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$12.05Apr 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Apr 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$17.33Apr 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$15.89Apr 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Apr 25, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.