Celebrated-Sunlamp
0x458c897fadb91f614d008f37cd531bbc2c8e36c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-92.07
Win rate
2%
174 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
1985 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
864 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
171 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
115 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
83 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$21.34Aug 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$21.33Aug 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$21.39Aug 17, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$39.96Aug 17, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$14.19Aug 17, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$15.00Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$7.37Aug 17, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$25.42Aug 17, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$15.43Aug 17, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$6.72Aug 17, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$6.03Aug 17, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$41.04Aug 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$15.67Aug 16, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$17.86Aug 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$15.17Aug 16, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$10.55Aug 16, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$7.64Aug 16, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.04Aug 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.18Aug 15, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 174 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
174 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $12.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 174 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.