Wide-Manager
0x458db260d8b8d97458b83aa67d3d68ec2c8c904d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$10.08
Total PnL
$-22.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 31, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.00Jan 15, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?$1.00Jan 15, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Jan 15, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.02Jan 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 10, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 16?$1.00Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jenna Ortega be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$1.01Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?$1.01Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$1.01Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by January 31?$1.02Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?$1.02Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$2.03Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?$1.00Nov 22, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $259.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".