Simplistic-Parade
0x45a5efd1887016d49f33140cdc12f7c8bff74f2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$10.05
Total PnL
$-233.38
Realised
$-2.51
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$5.05
$0.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$5.00
$1.25
- PLISKOVA
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys
114 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.68
- NO
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- RED CANIDS
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- MARSBORNE
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winner
53 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will US Lecce vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- KHACHANOV
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderi
36 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
- ILLWILL
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
26 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$3.75Feb 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$4.70Feb 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$1.26Feb 18, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$2.27Feb 18, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$10.06Feb 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$1.00Feb 17, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?$1.66Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$1.00Feb 17, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.44Feb 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$0.48Feb 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$3.29Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$1.22Feb 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.44Feb 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$0.49Feb 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$4.51Feb 14, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?$5.05Feb 14, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$5.05Feb 14, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8?$5.05Feb 14, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$5.05Feb 14, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".