Outstanding-Baseboard
0x45a7a88b5a9f7ee7a8a0df74a6f965583f3e0a2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$86.08
Total PnL
$-27.87
Realised
$-4.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?
11 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.52
$0.52
- NO
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in May?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- NO
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- NO
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
7 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.19
$0.19
- NO
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.48
$1.48
- NO
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.