Familiar-Football
0x45a9034cc84fd67c803dfb56735dc0c74e76309d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-386.13
Realised
$-28.87
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?
4187 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-83.74
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1037 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
797 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-70.95
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
579 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
400 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
133 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$312.50Jul 20, 05:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.