Multicolored-Tile
0x45acf01c3ed0cd6486f547acbf53a9d81eaaf0f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$190.19
Total PnL
$0.69
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?
184 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$184.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 4?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.99
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
1 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.01
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?$184.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 4?$4.99Jun 2, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$0.00May 18, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 24?$45.57May 18, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on April 15?$149.17May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 24?$45.53Apr 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on April 15?$149.00Apr 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 8, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
9/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $76.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.