Woeful-Characteristic
0x45b117dfe4b7c7d4a67d2aa088adcc83d39cbb9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.05
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.29May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.68May 26, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$496.80May 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$599.17May 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$996.21May 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$600.19May 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$500.42May 25, 15:49 UTC
- SPLIT2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$4.00May 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.0KMay 25, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?$1.00May 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?$3.00May 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$0.00May 25, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.00May 25, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00May 25, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00May 25, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00May 25, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00May 25, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$1.00May 25, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$2.01May 25, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $162.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.