Blushing-Mesenchyme-Dose
0x45b3e86bcffd96046c31b10d16babf3a56b374fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-569.12
Realised
$-55.61
Win rate
2%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
873 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
754 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 25?
673 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 25?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
482 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
478 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
375 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
355 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
322 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
282 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?$10.00Jul 29, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$24.97Jul 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.26Jul 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.35Jul 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.37Jul 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$20.20Jul 27, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.86Jul 26, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.33Jul 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 26?$1.56Jul 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 26?$1.06Jul 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 26?$0.86Jul 26, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.81Jul 26, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 26?$1.31Jul 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 26?$0.63Jul 26, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 85°F or below on July 26?$0.42Jul 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 26?$0.38Jul 26, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 26?$1.08Jul 25, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 25?$0.36Jul 25, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
66 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.