Possible-Significance
0x45b80a0a27935538e2361eec5828036e372c74bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$480.25
Total PnL
$-38.14
Realised
$-1.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Austin Eckroat win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
480 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$480.25
$0.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
452 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Cole Custer win The Great American Getaway 400?
450 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?
360 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-7.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
280 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.36
- NO
Will Austria win on 2025-10-09?
250 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?
11 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$0.54Mar 29, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$2.43Mar 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin Eckroat win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$479.52Mar 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$2.70Mar 23, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$17.36Mar 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$300.00Dec 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$296.70Nov 19, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $95?$470.30Nov 19, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $95?$468.59Nov 11, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $130 in September?$200.00Oct 29, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?$480.00Oct 29, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2025-10-09?$4.50Oct 9, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $130 in September?$199.60Sep 27, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$7.92Aug 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?$479.04Jul 25, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$316.79Jul 24, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$303.83Jul 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12.65Jul 23, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $129.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".