Esteemed-Downstairs
0x45ba25eb9543e9bf445fa5a83625e6e662c89ed6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-635.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
1778 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
1538 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
1323 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-449.91
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?
1314 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-814.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
1021 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
1005 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-520.00
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?
834 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?
784 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
629 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-258.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?
608 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?$10.2KApr 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?$7.0KApr 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$459.00Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?$814.00Apr 4, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$410.17Apr 1, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$855.48Apr 1, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-03-31?$240.00Mar 31, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$200.00Mar 31, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$400.00Mar 31, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$578.28Mar 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$500.00Mar 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$520.00Mar 28, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?$336.84Mar 28, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?$952.41Mar 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?$165.00Mar 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?$400.00Mar 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?$400.00Mar 12, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?$416.67Mar 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?$500.00Mar 11, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $700.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".