Bare-Negotiation
0x45be507348216a18ab253c304c2abc4341cf634e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$384.33
Total PnL
$-0.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?
381 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$381.23
$0.38
- NO
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
1 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?$380.85Feb 26, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.10Feb 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.00Feb 26, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?$2.00Feb 26, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$382.24Feb 26, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$381.09Jan 23, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$380.43Jan 23, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$378.53Dec 21, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$403.62Dec 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$402.41Nov 11, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?$402.41Nov 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?$398.39Oct 16, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on September 7?$1.00Oct 16, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in September?$100.30Oct 16, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$141.71Oct 16, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?$155.38Oct 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?$155.22Sep 7, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$141.00Sep 7, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on September 7?$1.00Sep 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in September?$100.00Sep 7, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $196.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 04:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.