Quirky-Kitsch
0x45c90d8beca168b8022e016e7e3c69adb0076db6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-278.50
Realised
$-4.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.94
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
270 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-83.33
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
68 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $210 in July?
65 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
61 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.57
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?
36 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$99.94Jan 12, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$43.70Nov 19, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$120.16Nov 19, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$69.86Nov 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$45.52Nov 7, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$45.51Nov 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$63.72Nov 6, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$63.72Nov 6, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$52.25Oct 25, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$2.14Oct 25, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$0.11Oct 25, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.69Oct 23, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$10.00Oct 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 19-22?$10.00Oct 20, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$10.00Oct 20, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$89.76Oct 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$3.34Oct 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMeteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?$6.60Oct 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?$2.16Oct 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$27.80Oct 5, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".