Modern-Settler
0x45ce4f5af2a81ab2df3767e8a2786ecd156d2d14
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.37
Total PnL
$-0.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- LIGHTNING
Lightning vs. Blackhawks
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$4.23
$1.23
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.95
$0.95
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.60
$0.60
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2 shares @ 62.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.60
$0.60
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Blackhawks$3.00Jan 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$3.00Jan 23, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMOver $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.29Jan 23, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Timberwolves$5.97Jan 23, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Timberwolves$4.00Jan 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Jan 6, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)$2.67Jan 6, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2.78Jan 6, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2025-12-24?$4.23Jan 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)$2.00Dec 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2025-12-24?$3.00Dec 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.82Dec 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$1.00Dec 17, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.14Dec 17, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.67Dec 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.00Dec 2, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.10Dec 2, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.