0x45d16c6db9ff81466e05fbbf33e43f20f75d9811
0x45d16c6db9ff81466e05fbbf33e43f20f75d9811
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-273.48
Realised
$-56.14
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 27?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$15.00
$3.30
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
51 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
42 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on February 22?
40 shares @ 71.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-28.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 27?
33 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-26.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 28?
32 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on February 22?
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on February 21?
19 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
16 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 27?$0.00Mar 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 27?$0.00Mar 14, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$14.00Mar 11, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.04Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$11.20Mar 9, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 9?$11.20Mar 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 8?$11.68Mar 8, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on March 7?$17.00Mar 7, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 27?$0.00Mar 7, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on March 7?$0.00Mar 7, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?$15.00Mar 6, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?$11.70Mar 6, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on March 7?$14.28Mar 6, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?$7.02Mar 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?$7.80Mar 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?$6.48Mar 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?$0.96Mar 4, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?$3.97Mar 4, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 4?$10.27Mar 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 4?$1.58Mar 4, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".