Noted-Stamen
0x45d19fab25e85c1f4de5e32b80c5dc80acd5b450
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-331.38
Realised
$-14.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?
3319 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.34
- YES
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2356 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-14.43
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1377 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-62.90
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
131 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-52.23
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
113 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on July 12?
68 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?
66 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-31.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?
66 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.90Jan 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.90Jan 18, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$52.23Jan 16, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$15.23Jan 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$13.00Jan 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$50.00Jan 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$20.34Jan 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$100.00Jan 14, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$50.00Jan 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$50.00Jan 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$14.43Jul 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 12?$50.00Jul 12, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 12?$50.00Jul 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?$13.36May 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?$18.12May 21, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$0.00May 21, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$0.00May 21, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$37.00May 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$39.97May 18, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $36.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.