Wasteful-Deviation
0x45d61b75389a9fd9426e2dc48161dc12018a861e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-823.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
5189 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-197.17
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
2076 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
919 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
812 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-197.70
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
703 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Italy win?$76.44Mar 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$100.00Mar 7, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$20.00Mar 7, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win?$398.80Feb 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.11Feb 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.56Feb 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.22Feb 14, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.69Feb 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.42Feb 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$3.30Feb 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.17Feb 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.66Feb 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.66Feb 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win?$85.20Feb 14, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win?$1.19Feb 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the match end in a draw?$1.60Feb 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$22.28Feb 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$4.29Feb 14, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $60.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".