Purple-Interface
0x45d74c8e29bd85181c5f79830005e05c47b7f207
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.42
Realised
$-5.62
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on May 7?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 8?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on May 6?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 6?
550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on May 5?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 49°F or below on May 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on May 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 47°F or below on May 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on May 7?
367 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 10?
367 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 21?$13.89Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 21?$10.11Jul 20, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 1?$7.65Jul 2, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 2?$0.00Jul 2, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 2?$0.32Jul 2, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 2?$0.08Jul 2, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?$1.06Jul 1, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?$1.48Jul 1, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 30?$5.00Jul 1, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 1?$1.24Jul 1, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 1?$1.78Jul 1, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 2?$2.66Jul 1, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 1?$1.88Jul 1, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 30?$5.00Jun 30, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 30?$2.38Jun 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?$6.43Jun 30, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?$1.16Jun 30, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 29?$5.01Jun 29, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?$7.79Jun 29, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?$1.50Jun 29, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.