Lawful-Toothpaste
0x45d8589bead18e27a3eb35a4fe8e98dabec2664d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Antonio Campos - The Beast in Me win Best Director for a Limited or Anthology Series at the 78th DGA Awards?
1224 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-612.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 30?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 5?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 25?
1072 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-536.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
360 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-187.20
- BUCCANEERS
Buccaneers vs. Rams
182 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-45.50
- NO
Will CF Pachuca win on 2025-11-20?
157 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-84.78
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
137 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-68.50
- RICE
North Texas vs. Rice
67 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-8.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Antonio Campos - The Beast in Me win Best Director for a Limited or Anthology Series at the 78th DGA Awards?$1.2KFeb 16, 08:27 UTC
- SPLITWill Antonio Campos - The Beast in Me win Best Director for a Limited or Anthology Series at the 78th DGA Awards?$1.2KJan 27, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$70.00Jan 15, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$69.51Jan 13, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 11?$70.00Jan 12, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 11?$69.93Jan 10, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$80.00Jan 9, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$79.92Jan 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 5?$1.2KJan 7, 08:18 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 5?$1.2KJan 2, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 30?$1.2KJan 1, 09:36 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 30?$1.2KDec 28, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 25?$1.1KDec 26, 09:50 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 25?$1.0KDec 22, 15:28 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 25?$72.00Dec 22, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?$412.00Dec 19, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?$410.35Dec 4, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 3?$116.00Dec 4, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 3?$115.88Dec 2, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)$567.00Nov 28, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $101.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".