Flippant-Canvas
0x45d8c384f6ae11a4479de2e6b4ab4d5dc51b969e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$-15.65
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?
737 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's Skiathlon at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
601 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-248.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
480 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-308.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
455 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-212.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
398 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-290.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.03May 19, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMGeneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen$1.14May 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen$1.00May 18, 09:39 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$8.64Apr 25, 10:20 UTC
- REWARD$8.64Apr 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$43.22Apr 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$43.38Apr 25, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$26.47Apr 25, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$26.00Apr 25, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$52.46Apr 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$27.35Apr 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$30.00Apr 25, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$38.32Apr 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$30.00Apr 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.50Apr 25, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 21, 2AM ET$9.95Apr 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$2.47Apr 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$26.38Apr 17, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".