Honored-Nail
0x45db413e2871ded889ff642d2744da000ddcf976
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$47.54
Total PnL
$-178.19
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 18?
45 shares @ 34.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$11.50
$-3.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?
44 shares @ 25.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.36
$-1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
26 shares @ 15.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.06
$2.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
67 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.71
$-9.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 20?
17 shares @ 23.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?
21 shares @ 14.2¢·now 13.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.79
$-0.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?
4 shares @ 48.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.47
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 16?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.16
$1.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 17?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.97
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 17?$1.08May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.00May 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.00May 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 16?$1.00May 15, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?$0.97May 15, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.00May 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?$1.00May 15, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?$1.00May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?$1.00May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.06May 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.00May 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$0.91May 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.00May 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.09May 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.09May 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.09May 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$1.06May 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?$1.07May 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$1.07May 15, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".