Hopeful-Vellum
0x45dd5e1ef0ee58fdd318820a1105460f9e20c281
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.54
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-69 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post less than 60 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?
358 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?
269 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
171 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.85
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
157 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.03May 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?$8.40Apr 9, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$2.00Apr 9, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$4.85Apr 9, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$10.40Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$4.85Apr 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas JFK assassination an inside job?$0.00Mar 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas JFK assassination an inside job?$0.00Mar 31, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas JFK assassination an inside job?$0.00Mar 31, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$8.60Feb 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Media invest in Solana before July?$7.59Feb 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media invest in Solana before July?$15.10Feb 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Feb 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Feb 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.00Feb 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-69 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?$1.00Feb 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post less than 60 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?$1.00Feb 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Feb 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.00Feb 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.00Feb 16, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $12.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".