Numb-Caravan
0x45df49fdc566ef97389658f972bdfbfeeaf5e3ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during May 16 Baier interview?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during May 16 Baier interview?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during May 16 Baier interview?$1.00May 17, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during May 16 Baier interview?$1.00May 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?$1.00May 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$5.00May 16, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".