Colorless-Rite
0x45e7f98a1f64c1e5eea2fb5e287788f1cc67d77c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$507.42
Total PnL
$-530.61
Realised
$-62.72
Win rate
45%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?
62 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$51.57
$-1.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?
65 shares @ 75.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$43.36
$-5.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 23?
56 shares @ 65.9¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$41.06
$4.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
71 shares @ 65.1¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$39.95
$-6.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?
46 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$38.50
$0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?
65 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$35.43
$-1.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 25?
53 shares @ 70.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$30.06
$-7.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$28.91
$-6.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on June 24?
37 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$22.28
$-0.94
- YES
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?
21 shares @ 60.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$21.28
$8.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?$8.99Jun 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?$13.89Jun 23, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 23?$1.07Jun 23, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?$2.00Jun 23, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?$1.00Jun 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 24?$3.76Jun 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?$1.92Jun 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 23?$4.43Jun 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?$12.67Jun 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?$5.79Jun 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 25?$37.25Jun 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?$37.81Jun 23, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?$1.80Jun 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?$41.30Jun 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?$0.15Jun 23, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?$7.39Jun 23, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?$2.98Jun 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?$10.00Jun 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?$0.14Jun 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 23?$4.43Jun 23, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
42 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.