Disgusting-Roller
0x45e8c3eb2c3301f94bb809d600892dc625e1c846
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$94.23
Total PnL
$-225.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$14.29
$4.29
- NO
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.82
$2.82
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.66
$2.66
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.20
$2.20
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$12.20
$2.20
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.11
$2.11
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
12 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.72
$1.72
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
227 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
155 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$5.88Nov 15, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$11.11Nov 15, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$11.24Nov 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$17.05Nov 1, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$14.23Nov 1, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$12.10Oct 31, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Chiefs$24.10Oct 31, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$5.00Oct 27, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$10.00Oct 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$5.00Oct 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by November 30?$5.00Oct 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$10.00Oct 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$10.00Oct 27, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.00Oct 27, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$10.00Oct 27, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$10.00Oct 27, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$10.00Oct 27, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Oct 27, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$10.00Oct 27, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Oct 27, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.