Imperfect-Improvement
0x45e94d1a1bdfacab11f91af8ca2acada078073ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$137.76
Total PnL
$-204.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
138 shares @ 40.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$135.09
$80.09
- YES
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-3.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.97
$-24.03
- YES
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
1327 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-147.43
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Partido Popular win 28-30 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
107 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
41 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-24.64
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$5.00Apr 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$55.00Apr 12, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$14.86Mar 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$69.86Mar 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular win 28-30 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?$70.00Feb 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$25.00Feb 4, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$25.00Feb 4, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$25.00Jan 20, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$20.00Jan 5, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$5.00Jan 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$25.00Dec 22, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$5.00Dec 20, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?$5.00Dec 20, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$30.00Dec 20, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$50.00Dec 20, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$10.15Dec 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$2.50Dec 19, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?$2.35Dec 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?$5.00Dec 17, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $22.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.