Lone-Sociology
0x45f0fe6716bb5a00b55aa1f7c8d1f65c84113d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$8.05
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will William rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$1.00Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.01Dec 26, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.01Dec 10, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.00Dec 6, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?$1.00Dec 6, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?$1.00Dec 5, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $185.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".