Quizzical-Patient
0x45f303963168af9cea6c14db84cf79afda0b842c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-270.63
Realised
$137.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2632 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-104.87
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
1974 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?
578 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.23
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in February?
374 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
277 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- USA
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
146 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.43
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
140 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
138 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$56.66Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$12.83Mar 1, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.84Mar 1, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$14.74Mar 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$22.37Feb 28, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$13.02Feb 28, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$4.23Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.50Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.29Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$12.00Feb 22, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$4.00Feb 22, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$3.00Feb 22, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 21, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?$3.00Feb 20, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$5.00Feb 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Feb 20, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$6.02Feb 14, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.01Feb 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$21.00Feb 14, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in February?$10.00Feb 14, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.