Heavenly-Lye
0x45f5bf219bba3e139be77612910b72d7bb90a3e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$15.37
Total PnL
$-522.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.01
$0.70
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.51
$0.41
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.40
$0.00
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$2.33
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on April 5?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12AM ET
5651 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-41.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8PM ET
3130 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7PM ET
2973 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-65.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7PM ET
2600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7PM ET
1500 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-46.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$1.17May 14, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.40May 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.33May 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on April 5?$1.12Apr 4, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.30Apr 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.10Apr 4, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.20Apr 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.20Mar 15, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.28Mar 15, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12AM ET$475.54Mar 15, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$999.91Mar 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$3.58Mar 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$3.64Mar 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$3.68Mar 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$2.74Mar 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$3.64Mar 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$0.91Mar 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$2.87Mar 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$1.13Mar 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET$4.00Mar 15, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".