Bewitched-Ephemeris
0x45f8f881ff71e8c010a3b030d2b5f21d7db109cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-336.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
269 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
214 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-79.00
- LIONS
Lions vs. Chiefs
139 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 9?
126 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?
105 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$52.63Dec 29, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$40.00Dec 24, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?$41.76Dec 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?$38.00Dec 22, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?$204.49Dec 17, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?$91.00Dec 9, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?$91.00Dec 9, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$105.48Dec 9, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$77.00Dec 3, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?$154.31Dec 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?$127.00Dec 1, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.10Dec 1, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$17.02Dec 1, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$91.19Dec 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 27, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.00Nov 27, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 27, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 27, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 27, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $43.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".