Close-Bet
0x45fcd2eafdd0d3b28850d31117ecf9988b4d101a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.12
Total PnL
$-10.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.51
$1.51
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.39
$1.39
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?
6 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?$2.00Feb 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?$2.00Feb 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?$2.00Feb 23, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?$2.67Feb 23, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?$2.00Feb 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$1.00Feb 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$3.00Feb 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$4.19Feb 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$3.00Feb 16, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$10.89Feb 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$8.82Feb 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?$5.80Feb 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$2.16Feb 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 11, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$5.00Feb 11, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?$10.00Feb 11, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$3.85Feb 3, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$3.00Jan 31, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".