Orange-Contagion
0x460660a9425de8471b06a13c945763a4749f5580
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
147 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?
118 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Hampshire Governor Election?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
45 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$36.51Feb 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$32.00Feb 10, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$32.00Feb 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$14.46Jan 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$24.64Jan 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.12Oct 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 18, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.06Oct 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.03Oct 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.15Oct 7, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Hampshire Governor Election?$0.15Sep 15, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.13Sep 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.09Aug 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.26Aug 28, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMChina wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$0.00Aug 28, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMUSA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$0.00Aug 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 22, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 18, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $24.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.