Alarming-Tinderbox
0x46084b812a2d0cbafa1cf1f8593314648179d049
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-41.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
2625 shares @ 38.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.1K
$52.51
- YES
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?
4995 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$34.97
$-14.98
- YES
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
134726 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
111063 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
83748 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament?
81185 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-324.01
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
69595 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.0K
- YES
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
61621 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-285.92
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
44074 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.8K
- YES
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
33013 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-989.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$51.43May 13, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens$20.0KMay 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$10.9KMay 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$1.0KMay 5, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Lightning$17.3KMay 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$62.76May 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$0.69May 3, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$9.83May 3, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$1.42May 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$0.69May 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$2.6KMay 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$4.5KMay 3, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox$9.8KApr 20, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox$4.4KApr 19, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees$420.00Apr 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees$420.00Apr 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees$3.8KApr 19, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$8.7KApr 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.2KApr 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.1KApr 12, 00:26 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".