Outlying-Impact
0x460c43fe6626d8bb89a2ea303890bde5dd40239c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-243.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 6 2026?
106 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 17?
91 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 10PM ET
89 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
86 shares @ 82.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-70.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9PM ET
82 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on February 6?
79 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?
66 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-64.53
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 9?
62 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 12?
58 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-54.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 9?
55 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$64.53Jun 4, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$54.84May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$53.14May 25, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 16?$55.38May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 16?$19.28May 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 16?$32.77May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$1.64May 8, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$50.24May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$48.53May 7, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 15?$50.81Apr 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 15?$48.93Apr 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?$1.12Apr 14, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMGrok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?$0.00Apr 14, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 6 2026?$2.75Apr 10, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 5, 10PM ET$2.46Apr 6, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?$2.66Apr 1, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 6?$0.00Apr 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?$0.00Mar 30, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?$3.18Mar 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9PM ET$2.29Mar 23, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.