Impartial-Volatility
0x461193be423bf976e8211aa34cec5642e6990764
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-418.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1175 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.54
- NO
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
809 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2022$0.00
$-60.17
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
404 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-162.61
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 17?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 17?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lazio win Coppa Italia?
207 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-59.67
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?
90 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
80 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-04?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win Coppa Italia?$0.21May 3, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win Coppa Italia?$3.39May 2, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win Coppa Italia?$4.80May 2, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win Coppa Italia?$28.21Apr 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win Coppa Italia?$14.50Apr 25, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win Coppa Italia?$8.55Apr 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?$10.00Mar 8, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-03-04?$20.00Mar 4, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$20.00Sep 22, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 17?$10.00Sep 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 17?$10.00Sep 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$30.54Sep 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$10.54Sep 17, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$151.50Sep 8, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$0.11Aug 22, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$10.23Aug 22, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$9.90Aug 22, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$29.76Aug 22, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$5.88Aug 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?$36.00Jul 13, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $19.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".