Elated-Playwright
0x46136ebe4547ef36bd88cb0bf26859fe91f9aa95
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on September 25?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$1.00Nov 6, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$400.47Nov 6, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$400.88Nov 6, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on September 25?$1.00Sep 25, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$96.96Sep 25, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$97.07Sep 25, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$97.06Sep 25, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$97.16Sep 25, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Aug 9, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Aug 9, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.01Aug 9, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$99.95Aug 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.05Aug 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?$1.00Aug 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$101.06Aug 9, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$101.16Aug 9, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jul 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.00Jul 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun launch a token by September 30? $100.24Jul 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun launch a token by September 30? $100.44Jul 12, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $100.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".