Forsaken-Mangrove
0x46159109bd711c7ff8814abe968b4b1b2c483127
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$276.46
Total PnL
$-52.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
147 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$146.40
$1.40
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
130 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.06
$0.07
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?
133 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
78 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$201.11Jun 12, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$140.70Jun 2, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$140.03Jun 2, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$200.06Jun 2, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$200.80Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$130.01May 30, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$300.30May 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$300.01May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$63.86May 18, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$60.30May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.13May 15, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$135.51May 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$200.00May 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$137.02May 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$60.00May 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.09May 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$64.00May 14, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$85.08May 14, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?$110.42May 14, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$138.55May 14, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $141.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.