Knotty-Cold
0x46164533c59b3c823ba87e0e485ab9a7afffa910
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-190.89
Realised
$-6.33
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$376.00
$8.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
374 shares @ 77.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$349.79
$60.35
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
324 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$317.00
$6.70
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
326 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$303.57
$7.61
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
745 shares @ 38.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.22
$-140.20
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
358 shares @ 43.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$116.29
$-39.63
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
106 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.09
$11.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
200 shares @ 61.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.00
$-29.00
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
100 shares @ 57.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.00
$26.45
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
95 shares @ 77.9¢·now 71.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$68.49
$-5.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$0.03Jun 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$15.32Jun 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$103.61Jun 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$19.87Jun 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$20.79Jun 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$6.62Jun 14, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.39Jun 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$33.24Jun 14, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$6.66Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.54Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$55.79Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$6.73Jun 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.05Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.94Jun 13, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$98.61Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$54.35Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$100.00Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$75.11Jun 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$141.98Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $28.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.