0x46299616ff1eb6544ca3ba653d431a20f207f3b1
0x46299616ff1eb6544ca3ba653d431a20f207f3b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$356.28
Total PnL
$-285.41
Realised
$5.46
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
40 shares @ 66.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.80
$-4.60
- NO
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.10
$-0.50
- NO
Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?
20 shares @ 83.6¢·now 70.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$14.01
$-2.71
- NO
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.50
$-3.10
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $8.5B?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$12.40
$-3.00
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.10
$-0.90
- NO
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$11.50
$-5.70
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$11.30
$-0.50
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$11.20
$-2.40
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.50
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Vitality Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$2.80Jul 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Falcons Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$3.00Jul 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liquid Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$2.60Jul 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 Thieves Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$2.40Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FOKUS Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$3.40Jul 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EYEBALLERS Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$5.40Jul 22, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SINNERS Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$6.00Jul 22, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FUT Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$5.20Jul 22, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$2.60Jul 22, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$2.40Jul 22, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$2.40Jul 22, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$9.40Jul 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?$1.00Jul 22, 00:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.58Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 15?$8.00Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$11.00Jul 22, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$13.80Jul 22, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$133.82Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$10.80Jul 21, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TownSquare launch a token by August 31, 2026?$4.20Jul 21, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.