Crazy-Cafe
0x462bff232ea321249a0545fd6cf69aeb8fb7f246
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$51.65
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$87.54
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$30.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30 shares @ 19.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$-4.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
5230 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-889.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET
1700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-850.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1556 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-710.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET
1270 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-444.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET
1070 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-460.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
858 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-428.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
640 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-320.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
417 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-200.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $86.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.