0x46351c2ef7caedc7c4df500ddea4d4455ae33997
0x46351c2ef7caedc7c4df500ddea4d4455ae33997
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$125.51
Total PnL
$-10.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
125 shares @ 16.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$124.56
$103.56
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
659 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
643 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
387 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.72Feb 19, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.00Feb 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$3.06Feb 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?$5.37Feb 13, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$0.00Feb 13, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBig Game: Octopus?$0.00Feb 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$43.00Feb 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.00Feb 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$20.00Feb 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Octopus?$1.00Feb 8, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$0.00Feb 8, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$0.00Feb 8, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $245?$0.00Feb 8, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.