Appropriate-Sea
0x4645b215c11125593e326a225c6d10eed85d9325
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$101.11
Total PnL
$-173.33
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
101 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$101.11
$1.11
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
2534 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-59.64
- YES
Will Trump win 2 swing states?
88 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
84 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$100.00Feb 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$20.00Feb 6, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$117.65Jan 4, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$68.00Nov 4, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris blowout victory?$10.00Nov 4, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$10.00Nov 4, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$10.00Nov 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$10.00Nov 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$35.00Nov 4, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Oct 28, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCrimean bridge hit before October?$0.00Oct 3, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$29.00Sep 5, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.20Sep 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.25Sep 1, 04:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Aug 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.20Aug 29, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$22.40Aug 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.94Aug 29, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLCrimean bridge hit before October?$3.60Aug 29, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Aug 29, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $45.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".