0x4651b5410d189003130f8e5d790bcb0e0c10be66
0x4651b5410d189003130f8e5d790bcb0e0c10be66
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$349.08
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 19?
1476 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-231.31
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1055 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 19?
866 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-128.74
- FOKUS SAKURA
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winner
290 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
269 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.15
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- KARMINE CORP
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
157 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
122 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
120 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?
120 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-38.82
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.