Normal-Tower
0x46539cf4432c654fa94254b0254d535494ad62e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$98.73
Total PnL
$-130.92
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
37%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
388 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.61
$2.86
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 21?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
38 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.15
$-0.75
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9 shares @ 72.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.16
$-0.09
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
22 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.46
$-1.45
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.47
$-0.43
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 67.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.24
$0.48
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.88
$-0.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.53
$0.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$11.63May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$10.10May 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$10.42May 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 21?$10.02May 14, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$3.82May 14, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$1.42May 14, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$4.27May 14, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$5.08May 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$4.98May 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$3.61May 14, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$5.04May 14, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.64May 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00May 14, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$3.61May 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$2.54May 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$5.09May 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$5.03May 14, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$7.69May 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.42May 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$5.05May 14, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".