Far-Armadillo
0x465541f2bbe2ea86341ed696cf159643fd7e06a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? $7.32Feb 24, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?$18.25Feb 24, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$20.75Feb 24, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?$39.60Feb 24, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$64.00Feb 24, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$52.00Feb 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$88.50Feb 21, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?$12.25Feb 21, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$21.00Feb 21, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?$40.05Feb 21, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? $7.59Feb 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$31.68Feb 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$10.20Feb 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$16.00Feb 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$20.46Feb 21, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$13.66Feb 21, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$27.33Feb 21, 03:31 UTC
- REWARD$0.26Feb 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$31.64Feb 20, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$40.73Feb 20, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $31.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.