Stale-Distance
0x466058c5b9bbe9812f3eb43ecab41f412fec25eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$81.66
Total PnL
$-0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Faithless elector in US election?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$15.87
$5.87
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
11 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$10.75
$2.75
- YES
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$10.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
8 shares @ 84.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$8.30
$1.30
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$7.94
$2.94
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
8 shares @ 65.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$7.62
$2.62
- YES
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$5.05
$0.05
- TRAN
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMMatt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?$0.85Nov 24, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMatt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?$0.58Nov 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$5.00Nov 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$5.00Nov 20, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?$0.00Nov 19, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMTexans vs. Cowboys$6.49Nov 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFaithless elector in US election?$10.00Nov 17, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$10.12Nov 17, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$8.33Nov 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)$2.00Nov 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$5.00Nov 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.00Nov 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?$5.00Nov 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?$5.00Nov 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$5.00Nov 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$5.00Nov 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$5.00Nov 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$10.00Nov 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?$5.00Nov 14, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump appeal his hush money conviction?$5.00Nov 14, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 18:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".