Fickle-Opportunity
0x4664ce839716b380c0292dea2b1c900454e73917
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.10
Total PnL
$-826.78
Realised
$1.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mike Waltz be Trump's Defense Secretary?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.09
$0.09
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.05
$0.05
- THREADGUY
RASMR vs. Threadguy
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?
5059 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-818.66
- NO
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.90
- NO
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?$1.17Mar 7, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$159.84Dec 29, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$3.00Dec 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$11.00Dec 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$4.82Dec 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$7.05Dec 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$6.25Dec 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$4.41Dec 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$2.28Dec 23, 04:23 UTC
- REWARD$0.41Dec 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$2.15Dec 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$30.30Dec 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$121.75Dec 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$6.00Dec 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$11.00Dec 13, 00:24 UTC
- REWARD$0.66Dec 13, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$76.76Dec 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$84.70Dec 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$47.35Dec 12, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?$89.61Dec 12, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $25.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".